Having watched Palin’s speech, I must say, Sarah Palin is quite a speech maker. But my instant reaction – is that it will not have the effect the Republicans hope it will. After every speaker attacked the media for being sexist and unfair to Palin, Palin was gratuitiously and obviously unfair to Barack Obama. In the hall, it played well. Among partisans, it played well. Among most independents and other voters, I’m sure it played well. But she had no vision for America, not sense of what comes next. She refused to acknowlege the tough times we are in.
She only did two things: defend herself and attack Obama – and she did both well. But this election will not be decided based on smears and whining. It will be decided on policy, if only a candidate can make the case. And Obama can.
My prediction is that polls taken that include tonight will show a McCain bounce. Polls taken that do no include tonight will not. Barack Obama will enter the second week of September with the same 8 point lead he entered the first week.
There is still more to come – and Palin can rally the Republican base like few others. But tonight, for all it’s electricity, was disappointing – because if Palin is the future of the Republican party, she has nothing to offer but fear – primarily of Obama, secondarilty of Islamic extremism, and tertiarilty, of taxes.